28 Jun · 01:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1402
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wiza
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1372
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H17-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.