28 Jun · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1705
FormLLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1568
FormWWLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)