28 Jun · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1679
FormLLWWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Fomin
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1353
FormWWWLL
81%
19%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 84% · 1.18· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
30%
3-2
19%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+326
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+326)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)