28 Jun · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1595
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1681
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)