28 Jun · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1719
FormWWLLL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Oracz
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1351
FormLWWWL
84%
16%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 87% · 1.16· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
31%
3-2
19%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+368
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+368)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)