28 Jun · 02:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1498
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Glanowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H19-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.