28 Jun · 03:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1411
FormWWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wiza
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1284
FormWWLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H45-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-22)