28 Jun · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1330
FormLLWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+227
H2H38-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+227)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-13)