28 Jun · 04:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1472
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Staniczek
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1482
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 23% · 4.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.