28 Jun · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1570
FormLLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pytlas
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1390
FormLLWLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)