28 Jun · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1462
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1625
FormWWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
21%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H64-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-25)