28 Jun · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1306
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1409
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)