28 Jun · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1333
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)