28 Jun · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1595
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostok
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1504
FormLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)