28 Jun · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1420
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1477
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)