28 Jun · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1684
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Jedrzejak
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)