28 Jun · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1324
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1428
FormWLLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)