28 Jun · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1622
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koczyba
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1572
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H36-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-31)