28 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1487
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1516
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.