28 Jun · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1626
FormWLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Gumulinski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1389
FormWLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~76 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+237
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)