28 Jun · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1688
FormWWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Jedrzejak
BP
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Pacia
ELO 1413
FormLLLLL
77%
23%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+275
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+275)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)