28 Jun · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1468
FormLWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Urban
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1318
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Urban
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)