28 Jun · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1423
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
21%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)