28 Jun · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1456
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1502
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)