28 Jun · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1674
FormLWWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Jedrzejak
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+253
H2H31-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+253)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-5)