28 Jun · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BP
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Pacia
ELO 1402
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)