28 Jun · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1299
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1337
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.