28 Jun · 13:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1333
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1337
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.