28 Jun · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bernacki
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1418
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)