28 Jun · 13:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1422
FormLLWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kukawka
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1655
FormWWLWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~73 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+233
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)