28 Jun · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BP
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Pacia
ELO 1398
FormLLLLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1678
FormWLWWW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
28%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+280
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+280)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)