28 Jun · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1448
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Warpas
FK
🇵🇱Filip Kujawa
ELO 1386
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)