28 Jun · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1401
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wnek
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1299
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)