28 Jun · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1428
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1456
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.