28 Jun · 14:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1508
FormLWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kukawka
MK
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1649
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kukawka
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)