28 Jun · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1678
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jedrzejak
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1589
FormLWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H26-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-15)