28 Jun · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1313
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Eliasz
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1296
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Eliasz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.