28 Jun · 15:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piotrowski
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1461
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)