28 Jun · 20:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1574
FormLWWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Kolodziej
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1864
FormLLWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~72 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
29%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+290
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+290)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)