28 Jun · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1495
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Bernacki
BP
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Pacia
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)