28 Jun · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1422
FormWWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1572
FormLLLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)