28 Jun · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1495
FormWLWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1678
FormLWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H16-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-2)