28 Jun · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AC
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1516
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Cichocki
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1422
FormWWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Cichocki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)