28 Jun · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1629
FormWLWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Koczyba
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1388
FormWWLWL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~76 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+241
H2H39-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+241)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-3)