28 Jun · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BP
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Pacia
ELO 1379
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1572
FormLLLWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+193
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)