28 Jun · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1507
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Glanowski
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H32-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-25)