28 Jun · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Szymik
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)