28 Jun · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Koczyba
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1440
FormLWWWL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+193
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)