28 Jun · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1492
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H48-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-45)