28 Jun · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1287
FormLLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Krupa
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1469
FormWLLLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)